平均预期寿命

平均预期寿命 平均预期寿命《豆丁用 定义:指在一定年龄组的死亡率水平下,该年龄组的一批人从出生到死亡平均可能生存的年 (岁)数。通常所说的平均期望寿命是指刚出生的一批人平均一生可能存活的年数。假设有10 万人同时出生,把这10万人从1岁开始,逐年存活下来的人年数加起来,除以10万,得出这批 人出生时的平均预期寿命。 指标解读:该指标综合反映了各年龄别人群的死亡率水平,综合反映了一个地区疾病水平和卫 生服务水平,对人口分析和人口预测具有非常重要的作用,国际上通常把它作为衡量一个国家 或地区居民生活质量和医疗卫生水平的重要指标。目前,上海居民平均预期寿命已超过80岁, 在国内居前列,基本达到世界发达国家或地区的水平。平均预期寿命与某一时期死亡人口的实 际平均年龄是完全不一样的。 统计方法:平均预期寿命通过编制生命计算,上海根据简略寿命表――蒋氏法计算的。 简略寿命表–蒋氏法 style=”BORDER-RIGHT:windowtext1ptsolid;PADDING-RIGHT:5.4pt;BORDER-TOP:windowtext1ptsolid;PADDING-LEFT:5.4pt;PADDING-BOTTOM:0cm;BORDER-LEFT:#ece9d8;WIDTH:59.6pt;PADDING-TOP:0cm;BORDER-BOTTOM:windowtext1ptsolid;HEIGHT:34.5pt;BACKGROUND-COLOR:transparent;mso-border-top-alt:solidwindowtext.5pt;mso-border-bottom-alt:solidwindowtext.5pt;mso-border-right-alt:solidwindowtext.5pt” vAlign=bottomwidth=79> style=”MARGIN:0cm0cm0pt;TEXT-INDENT:6.55pt;LINE-HEIGHT:150%;TEXT-ALIGN:center;mso-char-indent-count:.77″ align=center>年龄级(岁) style=”MARGIN:0cm0cm0pt;TEXT-INDENT:6.55pt;LINE-HEIGHT:150%;TEXT-ALIGN:center;mso-char-indent-count:.77″ align=center>X~ style=”BORDER-RIGHT:windowtext1ptsolid;PADDING-RIGHT:5.4pt;BORDER-TOP:windowtext1ptsolid;PADDING-LEFT:5.4pt;PADDING-BOTTOM:0cm;BORDER-LEFT:#ece9d8;WIDTH:58.25pt;PADDING-TOP:0cm;BORDER-BOTTOM:windowtext1ptsolid;HEIGHT:34.5pt;BACKGROUND-COLOR:transparent;mso-border-alt:solidwindowtext.5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solidwindowtext.5pt” vAlign=bottomwidth=78> style=”MARGIN:0cm0cm0pt;TEXT-INDENT:6.55pt;LINE-HEIGHT:150%;TEXT-ALIGN:center;mso-char-indent-count:.77″ align=center>死亡率 style=”MARGIN:0cm0cm0pt;TEXT-INDENT:6.55pt;LINE-HEIGHT:150%;TEXT-ALIGN:center;mso-char-indent-count:.77″ align=center>mx style=”BORDER-RIGHT:windowtext1ptsolid;PADDING-RIGHT:5.4pt;BORDER-TOP:windowtext1ptsolid;PADDING-LEFT:5.4pt;PADDING-BOTTOM:0cm;BORDER-LEFT:#ece9d8;WIDTH:58.3pt;PADDING-TOP:0cm;BORDER-BOTTOM:windowtext1ptsolid;HEIGHT:34.5pt;BACKGROUND-COLOR:transparent;mso-border-alt:solidwindowtext.5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solidwindowtext.5pt” vAlign=bottomwidth=78> style=”MARGIN:0cm0cm0pt;TEXT-INDENT:6.55pt;LINE-HEIGHT:150%;TEXT-ALIGN:center;mso-char-indent-count:.77″ align=center>死亡概率 style=”MARGIN:0cm0cm0pt;TEXT-INDENT:6.55pt;LINE-HEIGHT:150%;TEXT-ALIGN:center;mso-char-indent-count:.77″ align=center>qx style=”BORDER-RIGHT:windowtext1ptsolid;PADDING-RIGHT:5.4pt;BORDER-TOP:windowtext1ptsolid;PADDING-LEFT:5.4pt;PADDING-BOTTOM:0cm;BORDER-LEFT:#ece9d8;WIDTH:58.25pt;PADDING-TOP:0cm;BORDER-BOTTOM:windowtext1ptsolid;HEIGHT:34.5pt;BACKGROUND-COLOR:transparent;mso-border-alt:solidwindowtext.5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solidwindowtext.5pt” vAlign=bottomwidth=78> style=”MARGIN:0cm0cm0pt;TEXT-INDENT:6.55pt;LINE-HEIGHT:150%;TEXT-ALIGN:center;mso-char-indent-count:.77″ align=center>尚存人数 style=”MARGIN:0cm0cm0pt;TEXT-INDENT:6.55pt;LINE-HEIGHT:150%;TEXT-ALIGN:center;mso-char-indent-count:.77″ align=center>lx style=”BORDER-RIGHT:windowtext1ptsolid;PADDING-RIGHT:5.4pt;BORDER-TOP:windowtext1ptsolid;PADDING-LEFT:5.4pt;PADDING-BOTTOM:0cm;BORDER-LEFT:#ece9d8;WIDTH:58.3pt;PADDING-TOP:0cm;BORDER-BOTTOM:windowtext1ptsolid;HEIGHT:34.5pt;BACKGROUND-COLOR:transparent;mso-border-alt:solidwindowtext.5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solidwindowtext.5pt” vAlign=bottomwidth=78> style=”MARGIN:0cm0cm0pt;TEXT-INDENT:6.55pt;LINE-HEIGHT:150%;TEXT-ALIGN:center;mso-char-indent-count:.77″ align=center>死亡人数 style=”MARGIN:0cm0cm0pt;TEXT-INDENT:6.55pt;LINE-HEIGHT:150%;TEXT-ALIGN:center;mso-char-indent-count:.77″ align=center>dx style=”BORDER-RIGHT:windowtext1ptsolid;PADDING-RIGHT:5.4pt;BORDER-TOP:windowtext1ptsolid;PADDING-LEFT:5.4pt;PADDING-BOTTOM:0cm;BORDER-LEFT:#ece9d8;WIDTH:58.3pt;PADDING-TOP:0cm;BORDER-BOTTOM:windowtext1ptsolid;HEIGHT:34.5pt;BACKGROUND-COLOR:transparent;mso-border-alt:solidwindowtext.5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solidwindowtext.5pt” vAlign=bottomwidth=78> style=”MARGIN:0cm0cm0pt;TEXT-INDENT:6.55pt;LINE-HEIGHT:150%;TEXT-ALIGN:center;mso-char-indent-count:.77″ align=center>生存人年数 style=”MARGIN:0cm0cm0pt;TEXT-INDENT:6.55pt;LINE-HEIGHT:150%;TEXT-ALIGN:center;mso-char-indent-count:.77″ align=center>Lx style=”BORDER-RIGHT:#ece9d8;PADDING-RIGHT:5.4pt;BORDER-TOP:windowtext1ptsolid;PADDING-LEFT:5.4pt;PADDING-BOTTOM:0cm;BORDER-LEFT:#ece9d8;WIDTH:66.35pt;PADDING-TOP:0cm;BORDER-BOTTOM:windowtext1ptsolid;HEIGHT:34.5pt;BACKGROUND-COLOR:transparent;mso-border-top-alt:solidwindowtext.5pt;mso-border-bottom-alt:solidwindow text.5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solidwindowtext.5pt” vAlign=bottomwidth=88> style=”MARGIN:0cm0cm0pt;TEXT-INDENT:6.55pt;LINE-HEIGHT:150%;TEXT-ALIGN:center;mso-char-indent-count:.77″ align=center>生存总人年数 style=”MARGIN:0cm0cm0pt;TEXT-INDENT:6.55pt;LINE-HEIGHT:150%;TEXT-ALIGN:center;mso-char-indent-count:.77″ align=center>Tx style=”BORDER-RIGHT:#ece9d8;PADDING-RIGHT:5.4pt;BORDER-TOP:windowtext1ptsolid;PADDING-LEFT:5.4pt;PADDING-BOTTOM:0cm;BORDER-LEFT:windowtext1ptsolid;WIDTH:59.65pt;PADDING-TOP:0cm;BORDER-BOTTOM:windowtext1ptsolid;HEIGHT:34.5pt;BACKGROUND-COLOR:transparent;mso-border-top-alt:solidwindowtext.5pt;mso-border-bottom-alt:solidwindowtext.5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solidwindowtext.5pt” vAlign=bottomwidth=80> style=”MARGIN:0cm0cm0pt;TEXT-INDENT:6.55pt;LINE-HEIGHT:150%;TEXT-ALIGN:center;mso-char-indent-count:.77″ align=center>预期寿命 style=”MARGIN:0cm0cm0pt;TEXT-INDENT:6.55pt;LINE-HEIGHT:150%;TEXT-ALIGN:center;mso-char-indent-count:.77″ align=center>ex 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style=”BORDER-RIGHT:#ece9d8;PADDING-RIGHT:5.4pt;BORDER-TOP:#ece9d8;PADDING-LEFT:5.4pt;PADDING-BOTTOM:0cm;BORDER-LEFT:#ece9d8;WIDTH:66.35pt;PADDING-TOP:0cm ;BORDER-BOTTOM:windowtext1ptsolid;BACKGROUND-COLOR:transparent;mso-border-top-alt:solidwindowtext.5pt;mso-border-bottom-alt:solidwindowtext.5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solidwindowtext.5pt” width=88> style=”MARGIN:0cm0cm0pt;TEXT-INDENT:6.55pt;LINE-HEIGHT:150%;TEXT-ALIGN:center;mso-char-indent-count:.77″ align=center>6403451 style=”BORDER-RIGHT:#ece9d8;PADDING-RIGHT:5.4pt;BORDER-TOP:#ece9d8;PADDING-LEFT:5.4pt;PADDING-BOTTOM:0cm;BORDER-LEFT:windowtext1ptsolid;WIDTH:59.65pt;PADDING-TOP:0cm;BORDER-BOTTOM:windowtext1ptsolid;BACKGROUND-COLOR:transparent;mso-border-top-alt:solidwindowtext.5pt;mso-border-bottom-alt:solidwindowtext.5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solidwindowtext.5pt” width=80> style=”MARGIN:0cm0cm0pt;TEXT-INDENT:6.55pt;LINE-HEIGHT:150%;TEXT-ALIGN:center;mso-char-indent-count:.77″ align=center>65.28 style=”BORDER-RIGHT:windowtext1ptsolid;PADDING-RIGHT:5.4pt;BORDER-TOP:#ece9d8;PADDING-LEFT:5.4pt;PADDING-BOTTOM:0cm;BORDER-LEFT:#ece9d8;WIDTH:59.6pt;PADDING-TOP:0cm;BORDER-BOTTOM:windowtext1ptsolid;HEIGHT:22.8pt;BACKGROUND-COLOR:transparent;mso-border-top-alt:solidwindowtext.5pt;mso-border-bottom-alt:solidwindowtext.5pt;mso-border-right-alt:solidwindowtext.5pt” width=79> style=”MARGIN:0cm0cm0pt;TEXT-INDENT:6.55pt;LINE-HEIGHT:150%;TEXT-ALIGN:center;mso-char-indent-count:.77″ align=center>…… style=”BORDER-RIGHT:windowtext1ptsolid;PADDING-RIGHT:5.4pt;BORDER-TOP:#ece9d8;PADDING-LEFT:5.4pt;PADDING-BOTTOM:0cm;BORDER-LEFT:#ece9d8;WIDTH:58.25pt;PADDING-TOP:0cm;BORDER-BOTTOM:windowtext1ptsolid;HEIGHT:22.8pt;BACKGROUND-COLOR:transparent;mso-border-alt:solidwindowtext.5pt;mso-border-top-alt:solidwindowtext.5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solidwindowtext.5pt” width=78> style=”MARGIN:0cm0cm0pt;TEXT-INDENT:6.55pt;LINE-HEIGHT:150%;TEXT-ALIGN:center;mso-char-indent-count:.77″ align=center>…… style=”BORDER-RIGHT:windowtext1ptsolid;PADDING-RIGHT:5.4pt;BORDER-TOP:#ece9d8;PADDING-LEFT:5.4pt;PADDING-BOTTOM:0cm;BORDER-LEFT:#ece9d8;WIDTH:58.3pt;PADDING-TOP:0cm;BORDER-BOTTOM:windowtext1ptsolid;HEIGHT:22.8pt;BACKGROUND-COLOR:transparent;mso-border-alt:solidwindowtext.5pt;mso-border-top-alt:solidwindowtext.5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solidwindowtext.5pt” width=78> style=”MARGIN:0cm0cm0pt;TEXT-INDENT:6.55pt;LINE-HEIGHT:150%;TEXT-ALIGN:center;mso-char-indent-count:.77″ align=center>…… style=”BORDER-RIGHT:windowtext1ptsolid;PADDING-RIGHT:5.4pt;BORDER-TOP:#ece 9d8;PADDING-LEFT:5.4pt;PADDING-BOTTOM:0cm;BORDER-LEFT:#ece9d8;WIDTH:58.25pt;PADDING-TOP:0cm;BORDER-BOTTOM:windowtext1ptsolid;HEIGHT:22.8pt;BACKGROUND-COLOR:transparent;mso-border-alt:solidwindowtext.5pt;mso-border-top-alt:solidwindowtext.5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solidwindowtext.5pt” width=78> style=”MARGIN:0cm0cm0pt;TEXT-INDENT:6.55pt;LINE-HEIGHT:150%;TEXT-ALIGN:center;mso-char-indent-count:.77″ align=center>…… style=”BORDER-RIGHT:windowtext1ptsolid;PADDING-RIGHT:5.4pt;BORDER-TOP:#ece9d8;PADDING-LEFT:5.4pt;PADDING-BOTTOM:0cm;BORDER-LEFT:#ece9d8;WIDTH:58.3pt;PADDING-TOP:0cm;BORDER-BOTTOM:windowtext1ptsolid;HEIGHT:22.8pt;BACKGROUND-COLOR:transparent;mso-border-alt:solidwindowtext.5pt;mso-border-top-alt:solidwindowtext.5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solidwindowtext.5pt” width=78> style=”MARGIN:0cm0cm0pt;TEXT-INDENT:6.55pt;LINE-HEIGHT:150%;TEXT-ALIGN:center;mso-char-indent-count:.77″ align=center>…… style=”BORDER-RIGHT:windowtext1ptsolid;PADDING-RIGHT:5.4pt;BORDER-TOP:#ece9d8;PADDING-LEFT:5.4pt;PADDING-BOTTOM:0cm;BORDER-LEFT:#ece9d8;WIDTH:58.3pt;PADDING-TOP:0cm;BORDER-BOTTOM:windowtext1ptsolid;HEIGHT:22.8pt;BACKGROUND-COLOR:transparent;mso-border-alt:solidwindowtext.5pt;mso-border-top-alt:solidwindowtext.5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solidwindowtext.5pt” width=78> style=”MARGIN:0cm0cm0pt;TEXT-INDENT:6.55pt;LINE-HEIGHT:150%;TEXT-ALIGN:center;mso-char-indent-count:.77″ align=center>…… style=”BORDER-RIGHT:#ece9d8;PADDING-RIGHT:5.4pt;BORDER-TOP:#ece9d8;PADDING-LEFT:5.4pt;PADDING-BOTTOM:0cm;BORDER-LEFT:#ece9d8;WIDTH:66.35pt;PADDING-TOP:0cm;BORDER-BOTTOM:windowtext1ptsolid;HEIGHT:22.8pt;BACKGROUND-COLOR:transparent;mso-border-top-alt:solidwindowtext.5pt;mso-border-bottom-alt:solidwindowtext.5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solidwindowtext.5pt” width=88> style=”MARGIN:0cm0cm0pt;TEXT-INDENT:6.55pt;LINE-HEIGHT:150%;TEXT-ALIGN:center;mso-char-indent-count:.77″ align=center>…… style=”BORDER-RIGHT:#ece9d8;PADDING-RIGHT:5.4pt;BORDER-TOP:#ece9d8;PADDING-LEFT:5.4pt;PADDING-BOTTOM:0cm;BORDER-LEFT:windowtext1ptsolid;WIDTH:59.65pt;PADDING-TOP:0cm;BORDER-BOTTOM:windowtext1ptsolid;HEIGHT:22.8pt;BACKGROUND-COLOR:transparent;mso-border-top-alt:solidwindowtext.5pt;mso-border-bottom-alt:solidwindowtext.5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solidwindowtext.5pt” width=80> style=”MARGIN:0cm0cm0pt;TEXT-INDENT:6.55pt;LINE-HEIGHT:150%;TEXT-ALIGN:center;mso-char-indent-count:.77″ align=center>…… style=”MARGIN:0cm0cm6pt0.05pt;TEXT-INDENT:27pt;LINE-HEIGHT:150%;mso-char-indent-count:2.0″>计算步骤: style=”MARGIN:0cm0cm6pt0.05pt;TEXT-INDENT:27pt;LINE-HEIGHT:150%;mso-char-indent-count:2.0″>第一步,将人口数按照不同年龄进行分组,分成0岁组,1-4岁 组,5-9岁组,……。并利用公安部门提供的当年户籍人口数和构成比,以及由上海市疾病控制 中心提供的死亡资料,计算出各年龄组的死亡率(mx); style=”MARGIN:0cm0cm6pt0.05pt;TEXT-INDENT:27pt;LINE-HEIGHT:150%;mso-char-indent-count:2.0″>第二步,根据各年龄组死亡率求得年龄组死亡概率(qx)。说明X岁 尚存者在今后一年内的死亡概率。计算: style=”MARGIN:0cm0cm6pt21pt;LAYOUT-GRID-MODE:char;TEXT-INDENT:28pt;mso-layout-grid-align:none”>2 mx style=”MARGIN:0cm0cm6pt21pt;LAYOUT-GRID-MODE:char;TEXT-INDENT:28pt;LINE-HEIGHT:80%;mso-layout-grid-align:none”>qx=???? style=”MARGIN:0cm0cm6pt21pt;LAYOUT-GRID-MODE:char;TEXT-INDENT:28pt;mso-layout-grid-align:none”>2mx style=”MARGIN:0cm0cm6pt;TEXT-INDENT:27pt;LINE-HEIGHT:150%;mso-char-indent-count:2.0″>第三步,假定0岁组的尚存人数为10万,计算各年龄组的死亡人数(dx)和 尚存人数(lx)。计算公式:dx=lx× qx;lx1=lx-dx style=”MARGIN:0cm0cm6pt;TEXT-INDENT:20.25pt;LINE-HEIGHT:150%;mso-char-indent-count:1.5″>第四步,计算各年龄组的生存人年数(Lx)以及生存总人年数((Tx)。生 存人年数表示X岁尚存者在今后一年(或n年)内的生存人年数。计算公式:Lx=1/2(lxlx1);Tx= ?Lx style=”MARGIN:0cm0cm6pt;TEXT-INDENT:20.25pt;LINE-HEIGHT:150%;mso-char-indent-count:1.5″>第五步,计算平均预期寿命(ex)。计算公式:ex=Tx / lx style=”MARGIN:0cm0cm6pt;TEXT-INDENT:20.25pt;LINE-HEIGHT:150%;mso-char-indent-count:1.5″>统计及发布人:上海市卫生局 style=”MARGIN:0cm0cm6pt;TEXT-INDENT:20.25pt;LINE-HEIGHT:150%;mso-char-indent-count:1.5″>统计频率:年度 style=”MARGIN:0cm0cm6pt;TEXT-INDENT:20.25pt;LINE-HEIGHT:150%;mso-char-indent-count:1.5″>发布时间:在《上海统计年鉴》上公布