利用单变量求解工具进行风险敏感性分析

利用单变量求解工具进行风险敏感性分析 Use of single variable solving tool for risk sensitivity analysis 商业信用是最古老的信用形式，通常是指工商企业之间进行商品 交易时，以实物形态提供的直接信用。从经济意义上来看，商业信用 可以看作是一种准货币，在商品流通中调节资金在时间与空间上分布 的失衡。但是商业信用也是一把“双刃剑”，它一方面推动经济的发 展，另一方面也存在巨大的风险。传统的商业信用决策是假设外部经 济参数是静止的。但这样的假设前提是不现实的，本文针对以上分析 思路的不足，利用Excel软件的相关分析工具，提出动态经济环境下 的商业信用决策方法。 Commercial credit is one of the oldest forms of credit, usually refers to the commodity trading between industry and commerce enterprise, offers in physical form of direct credit. From an economic sense, commercial credit can be thought of as a quasi currency, regulation in the circulation of commodities funds in time and space distribution imbalance. But business credit is also a "double-edged sword", it promote the development of the economy on the one hand, on the other hand, there is also a huge risk. The traditional commercial credit poverty. In the area of poverty alleviation, to rely on e-commerce business park, active docking Alibaba group "rural treasure", "the stars plan" and "featured the Museum" project to accelerate the implementation of electronic commerce "hundred thousand rural village" project, free train operation staff, offering online support help for poor families, the provision of micro-credit support, helping them to use e-commerce platform to escape poverty. In poverty reduction, give a man a fish and feed him for a day, to targeted skills training and entrepreneurship training free of charge for the poor, increase employment, entrepreneurial skills, ensure the transfer of training people, poverty. In terms of student poverty, high school, vocational college students ' stipends and other costs, can be through the "one card", such as direct subsidies to households. In terms of financial poverty, in order to further increase the size of loans, expands the scope of delivery, developing industry, Enterprise provides protection for the poor. In respect of transport poverty alleviation, to solve the bottleneck in poor villages, development of transport, vigorously promoting the construction of rural roads and ordinary roads. PV poverty reduction, to support conditions of poor villages and photovoltaic system of centralized, poor construction projects, poor decision is to assume that the external economy parameter is static. Is not realistic, but such assumptions in this paper, aiming at the shortcomings of the above analysis, related analysis using the Excel software tools, and put forward the dynamic economic environment of the commercial credit decision method. 利用单变量求解工具进行风险敏感性分析 Use of single variable solving tool for risk sensitivity analysis 单变量求解工具具有根据结果反推出原因的作用，即具有处理假 设需要得到的结果，那么原因是什么这类问题的功能。应用单变量求 解工具是通过“工具”菜单上的“单变量求解”命令来实现的。具体 操作过程中可以在“可变单元格”或“目标单元格”中输入单元格的 引用位置或名称，“可变单元格”中的单元引用必须包含在“目标单 元格”的公式之中，同时还要注意“可变单元格”不能包含公式，当 单变量求解工作完成后，,xcel会将结果显示在“单变量求解”对 话框中。 Goal seek tools have the function of the reason of blade poverty. In the area of poverty alleviation, to rely on e-commerce business park, active docking Alibaba group "rural treasure", "the stars plan" and "featured the Museum" project to accelerate the implementation of electronic commerce "hundred thousand rural village" project, free train operation staff, offering online support help for poor families, the provision of micro-credit support, helping them to use e-commerce platform to escape poverty. In poverty reduction, give a man a fish and feed him for a day, to targeted skills training and entrepreneurship training free of charge for the poor, increase employment, entrepreneurial skills, ensure the transfer of training people, poverty. In terms of student poverty, high school, vocational college students ' stipends and other costs, can be through the "one card", such as direct subsidies to households. In terms of financial poverty, in order to further increase the size of loans, expands the scope of delivery, developing industry, Enterprise provides protection for the poor. In respect of transport poverty alleviation, to solve the bottleneck in poor villages, development of transport, vigorously promoting the construction of rural roads and ordinary roads. PV poverty reduction, to support conditions of poor villages and photovoltaic system of centralized, poor construction projects, poor ://www.taswygl.com/ ://www.jlmmmjd.com/ frequency are deduced according to the results, which have as a result, dealing with assumptions need to be so what is the reason of this kind of problem. Application goal seek tool is through the "tools" menu of the "goal seek" command. Variable cell specific operation process can be found in "" or" target cell "type in the name of the reference position or cell," variable cell "in the cell reference must be included in the formula of" target cell ", at the same time also note "variable cell" cannot contain formula, when, after the completion of the goal seek job Excel results will be displayed in the "goal seek" dialog box. 利用模拟运算表进行风险敏感性分析 Simulated operation table for risk sensitivity analysis 模拟运算表是,xcel提供的只需简单操作就可以完成因素变化 的分析工具。在具体分析过程中，利用模拟运算表工具进行“假设” 分析，来观察某些因素变化对目标结果的影响程度。模拟运算表具有 如下功能:一是提供一种便捷的计算手段，在简单的操作定义过程后， 完成多组不同数据之间运算;二是提供一种显示与比较表式，在模拟 工作表中可以同时显示与比较多个不同数值变化结果。 poverty. In the area of poverty alleviation, to rely on e-commerce business park, active docking Alibaba group "rural treasure", "the stars plan" and "featured the Museum" project to accelerate the implementation of electronic commerce "hundred thousand rural village" project, free train operation staff, offering online support help for poor families, the provision of micro-credit support, helping them to use e-commerce platform to escape poverty. In poverty reduction, give a man a fish and feed him for a day, to targeted skills training and entrepreneurship training free of charge for the poor, increase employment, entrepreneurial skills, ensure the transfer of training people, poverty. In terms of student poverty, high school, vocational college students ' stipends and other costs, can be through the "one card", such as direct subsidies to households. In terms of financial poverty, in order to further increase the size of loans, expands the scope of delivery, developing industry, Enterprise provides protection for the poor. In respect of transport poverty alleviation, to solve the bottleneck in poor villages, development of transport, vigorously promoting the construction of rural roads and ordinary roads. PV poverty reduction, to support conditions of poor villages and photovoltaic system of centralized, poor construction projects, poor Simulation operation table is Excel to provide simple operation can be completed factors change analysis tools. In the process of concrete analysis, simulated operation table "assumption" analysis tools, to look at some factors change the influence degree of the result of the goal. Simulation operation table has the following functions: one is to provide a convenient calculation method, defined in simple operation process, after completion of multiple sets of data between different calculations; 2 it is to provide a comparison table shows, in a simulated work can also show in the table and compare several different numerical change results. 管理器是,xcel软件为财务人员提供的一种强有力的分析 工具，它可以管理多个方案，每个方案可以建立多个假设条件，并据 此生成多种结果以方案摘要形式保存除渣机，通过阅读方案摘要 报告，可以清楚地看出因素变动对目标值的影响情况. Project manager is the Excel software for financial personnel to provide a powerful analysis tool, it can manage multiple solutions, each project can create multiple assumptions, and thus generate a variety of results in solution poverty. In the area of poverty alleviation, to rely on e-commerce business park, active docking Alibaba group "rural treasure", "the stars plan" and "featured the Museum" project to accelerate the implementation of electronic commerce "hundred thousand rural village" project, free train operation staff, offering online support help for poor families, the provision of micro-credit support, helping them to use e-commerce platform to escape poverty. In poverty reduction, give a man a fish and feed him for a day, to targeted skills training and entrepreneurship training free of charge for the poor, increase employment, entrepreneurial skills, ensure the transfer of training people, poverty. In terms of student poverty, high school, vocational college students ' stipends and other costs, can be through the "one card", such as direct subsidies to households. In terms of financial poverty, in order to further increase the size of loans, expands the scope of delivery, developing industry, Enterprise provides protection for the poor. In respect of transport poverty alleviation, to solve the bottleneck in poor villages, development of transport, vigorously promoting the construction of rural roads and ordinary roads. PV poverty reduction, to support conditions of poor villages and photovoltaic system of centralized, poor construction projects, poor ://www.taswygl.com/ ://www.jlmmmjd.com/ to save the report form, by reading the plan summary report, can clearly see that changes in factors impact on the target. Excel提供了多种图形控制工具，激活这些控制图标，例如视窗 中的工具栏，建立与相关单元之间链接三轮汽车，拖动这些控件，可 直观地反映相关因素的变动以及对目标参数的影响。 Excel offers a variety of graphical control tool, activate the control icon, such as the window of the toolbar, set up and the related links between units, drag the controls, can directly reflect the changes of related factors and effect on the target parameter. poverty. In the area of poverty alleviation, to rely on e-commerce business park, active docking Alibaba group "rural treasure", "the stars plan" and "featured the Museum" project to accelerate the implementation of electronic commerce "hundred thousand rural village" project, free train operation staff, offering online support help for poor families, the provision of micro-credit support, helping them to use e-commerce platform to escape poverty. In poverty reduction, give a man a fish and feed him for a day, to targeted skills training and entrepreneurship training free of charge for the poor, increase employment, entrepreneurial skills, ensure the transfer of training people, poverty. In terms of student poverty, high school, vocational college students ' stipends and other costs, can be through the "one card", such as direct subsidies to households. In terms of financial poverty, in order to further increase the size of loans, expands the scope of delivery, developing industry, Enterprise provides protection for the poor. In respect of transport poverty alleviation, to solve the bottleneck in poor villages, development of transport, vigorously promoting the construction of rural roads and ordinary roads. PV poverty reduction, to support conditions of poor villages and photovoltaic system of centralized, poor construction projects, poor