Published Ahead of Print 23 July 2007.
10.1128/AAC.00296-07.
2007, 51(10):3599. DOI:Antimicrob. Agents Chemother.
Cuenca-Estrella
Johan W. Mouton, Albert Pahissa and Manuel
Rodríguez-Pardo, Fernando Laguna, J. Peter Donnelly,
Juan L. Rodríguez-Tudela, Benito Almirante, Dolors
Candidiasis and Candidemia
Response of Patients with Mucosal
of Fluconazole to the Therapeutic
Correlation of the MIC and Dose/MIC Ratio
http://aac.asm.org/content/51/10/3599
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ANTIMICROBIAL AGENTS AND CHEMOTHERAPY, Oct. 2007, p. 3599–3604 Vol. 51, No. 10
0066-4804/07/$08.00�0 doi:10.1128/AAC.00296-07
Copyright © 2007, American Society for Microbiology. All Rights Reserved.
Correlation of the MIC and Dose/MIC Ratio of Fluconazole to the
Therapeutic Response of Patients with Mucosal
Candidiasis and Candidemia�
Juan L. Rodrı´guez-Tudela,1* Benito Almirante,2 Dolors Rodrı´guez-Pardo,2 Fernando Laguna,3
J. Peter Donnelly,4 Johan W. Mouton,5 Albert Pahissa,2 and Manuel Cuenca-Estrella1
Servicio de Micologia, Centro Nacional de Microbiologia, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Majadahonda, Madrid,1 Servicio de
Enfermedades Infecciosas, Hospital Universitario Valle de Hebro´n, Barcelona,2 and Servicio de Medicina Interna,
Hospital Carlos III, Madrid,3 Spain; Department of Haematology, Radboud University Nijmegen Medical Centre,
and Nijmegen University Centre for Infectious Diseases, Radboud University Nijmegen, Nijmegen,
The Netherlands4; and Department of Medical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases,
Canisius Wilhelmina Hospital, Nijmegen, The Netherlands5
Received 1 March 2007/Returned for modification 14 April 2007/Accepted 12 July 2007
We report on the correlation of the outcomes for two cohorts of patients who had been treated for candidemia (126
episodes) or oropharyngeal candidiasis (110 episodes) with various doses of fluconazole and theMIC of fluconazole
obtained by using the EUCAST standard for fermentative yeasts. Of 145 episodes caused by an isolate with a
fluconazole MIC <2 mg/liter, 93.7% (136 of 145) responded to fluconazole treatment. The response for those
infected with a strain with a MIC of 4 mg/liter was 66% but reached 100% when the dose was greater than 100
mg/day, whereas the response for those infected with strains with MICs >8 mg/liter was only 12%. Hence, a MIC
of 2 mg/liter or 4 mg/liter was able to predict successful treatment. A cure rate of 93.9% (140 of 149) was achieved
when the dose/MIC ratio was>100 but fell to 14.6% (16 of 109) when the ratio was less. The dose/MIC required to
achieve a response rate of 50% (the 50% effective concentration) was 43.7 for the cohort of patients with oropha-
ryngeal candidiasis. Classification and regression analysis indicated that a dose/MIC of 35.5 was the threshold for
the prediction of cure or failure. However, an increase in exposure above this threshold further increased the
probability of cure, and all patients were cured when the dose/MIC exceeded 100. Monte Carlo simulations showed
a probability of target attainment of 99% at MICs<2 mg/liter and a pharmacodynamic target of a dose/MIC ratio
of 100, which was equivalent to an unbound fraction of the fluconazole area under the curve versus the MIC of 79.
The setting of breakpoints for antimicrobial agents has evolved
considerably in recent years. However, the development of break-
points for antifungals has received less attention than that for
antibacterials partly due to the complex nature of invasive fungal
diseases and partly due to the lack of a proper standard for
susceptibility tests. Publication M27-A2 of the CLSI (formerly the
NCCLS) for testing the susceptibilities of yeasts to antifungal
agents, including fluconazole, was an important step (24); but the
process was not in line with the process for setting breakpoints
established by the European Committee on Antimicrobial Sus-
ceptibility Testing (EUCAST), which takes into account pharma-
cokinetic (PK)-pharmacodynamic (PD) data and other factors,
such as dosing regimens, toxicology, resistance mechanisms, wild
type MIC distributions, and clinical outcome data (15).
The Antifungal Susceptibility Testing Subcommittee (AFST)
of EUCAST was charged with applying this process to antifungal
drugs and recently achieved the first step in publishing a standard
method (29) that differs slightly from that of the CLSI but that
results in essentially the same MICs (9, 8, 30). Both methods
produce MICs up to 2 mg/liter. Above this value, the CLSI
method generates MICs twofold higher than those generated by
the EUCAST AFST method (30).
The interpatient variability in population PK parameter esti-
mates has only recently been recognized as a key factor in pre-
dicting the outcome for individual patients and establishing
breakpoints and targets for clinical susceptibility. Monte Carlo
simulation is used to address this (5), as it can be used to deter-
mine the probability of target attainment for PD indices by taking
the inherent variation within different populations into account
(2, 11, 12, 20, 22, 23). Indeed, this statistical technique forms an
integral part of the breakpoint-setting process for antibacterials of
both the CLSI and the EUCAST. Mouton used Monte Carlo
simulation to determine the variations in exposure for fluconazole
(21), but the PD target required to attain the breakpoint was not
clear. The aim of the current study was to determine the corre-
lation of MICs to the clinical outcomes for patients with candi-
demia and oropharyngeal candidiasis (OPC) who had been
treated with fluconazole and also to determine the PK-PD pa-
rameter relation that best predicted this outcome. We then used
these data to establish a PD target and subsequently determine
the probability of target attainment for fluconazole and the clin-
ical breakpoint for fluconazole by way of proving the concept for
establishing the clinical breakpoints of antifungals.
MATERIALS AND METHODS
Patients. (i) Candidemia. One hundred twenty-six candidemia patients treated
with fluconazole were recruited from a population-based surveillance study per-
* Corresponding author. Mailing address: Servicio de Micologı´a,
Centro Nacional de Microbiologı´a, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Ctra.
Majadahonda Pozuelo km 2, 28220 Majadahonda, Spain. Phone: 34 91
8223919. Fax: 34 91 5097966. E-mail: juanl.rodriguez-tudela@isciiii.es.
� Published ahead of print on 23 July 2007.
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formed in Barcelona, Spain, during 2002 and 2003 (1). A case was defined by the
recovery of any Candida species from blood cultures. A case of candidemia that
occurred �30 days after the initial case was considered a new case. Cure was
defined by eradication of the candidemia and resolution of the associated signs
and symptoms. Failure was defined as persistent candidemia, despite 4 days of
fluconazole treatment. The recommended dose of fluconazole for candidemia is
400 mg/day, but the dose was adjusted to 200 mg/day when the creatinine
clearance was between 10 and 50 ml/min and to 100 mg/day when the creatinine
clearance was �10 ml/min.
(ii) OPC. One hundred ten patients with human immunodeficiency virus
(HIV) infection had been treated in another study with fluconazole for a total of
132 episodes of oral thrush caused by Candida albicans (16). Clinical resolution
was defined as the absence of lesions compatible with oral thrush after 10 days
of therapy. Mycological cure was not evaluated. All episodes were used to
evaluate the clinical outcome, irrespective of the dose of fluconazole given.
Hence, a total of 258 episodes of Candida infection were available for analysis.
Antifungal susceptibility testing. All isolates were sent to the Mycology Ref-
erence Laboratory, National Centre for Microbiology, Madrid, Spain, for species
confirmation and antifungal susceptibility testing. The MICs of fluconazole for
each of the isolates were determined by the standard of the AFST of EUCAST
for fermentative yeasts (AFST-EUCAST discussion document 7.1 [29]). Briefly,
fluconazole was distributed in RPMI supplemented with 2% glucose in flat-
bottomed microtitration trays which were inoculated with 105 CFU/ml of yeast,
incubated at 35°C, and then read after 24 h at 530 nm by use of a spectropho-
tometer. The end point was defined as the concentration that resulted in 50%
inhibition of growth compared with the growth in the control well. Candida krusei
ATCC 6258 and C. parapsilosis ATCC 22019 were included for quality control.
These results were not available to any of the participants until the end of the
clinical studies.
Statistical analysis. When required, data were transformed to log2 or log10 to
approximate a normal distribution. The area under the curve (AUC) at 24 h
(AUC24) and the corresponding dose were obtained from selected references (6,
10, 13, 14, 19, 26). Linear regression analysis was undertaken to determine the
correlation coefficient and the relationship between the dose administered to
each patient and the corresponding AUC24.
This enabled us to calculate the exact equivalencies between dose/MIC, AUC/
MIC, and the unbound fraction (f) of fluconazole AUC versus the MIC (fAUC/
MIC) by considering an unbound fraction of 88%. All these parameters were
correlated with the outcomes for the two patient cohorts (Fig. 1; see also Table
3) (6, 10, 13, 14, 19, 26).
A sigmoidal dose-response curve (maximum-effect model) with variable slope
(Prism software, version 3.0; Graphpad Inc., San Diego, CA) was fitted to the
outcome data for the OPC patients. The goodness of fit of the curve was judged
by the R2 value. R2 is a fraction between 0.0 and 1.0 and has no units. Higher
values indicate that the curve comes closer to the data. The dose/MIC that
provokes a response halfway between the baseline and the maximum effect is
called the 50% effective concentration (EC50). Logistic regression analysis was
performed with SAS software (SAS, Cary, NC), and classification and regression
tree (CART) analysis was undertaken by using WEKA software (32). Briefly, the
program determines the optimal CART analysis-derived value that discriminates
between patients with a higher likelihood of success and those with a likelihood
of a poor outcome. Since failures may still occur when the values are above this
value, we also determined the value that distinguished between those who had an
almost 100% probability of cure and those who had a lower probability of cure.
Monte Carlo simulations were performed by using the MicLab program (ver-
sion 2.35; Medimatics, Maastricht, The Netherlands), as described earlier (22,
23). Briefly, a dosing regimen of 400 mg/day was simulated by using a population
of 10,000 subjects and a lognormal distribution of pharmacokinetic parameters,
assuming a volume of distribution of 45 liters (coefficient of variation [CV], 12%)
and a half-life of 32 h (CV, 15%) of fluconazole. f was assumed to be 0.88 and
was not varied (6, 10, 13, 14, 19, 26). The output consisted of a probability
distribution, a cumulative probability distribution, and selected confidence inter-
vals for the fAUC/MIC ratios. The fAUC/MIC probability distribution was
determined for MICs of 1 to 32 mg/liter (see Fig. 3).
RESULTS
Patients. The cohort with oral thrush has been described
previously (16). Briefly, these were HIV-positive patients with
OPC due to C. albicans.
The demographics and clinical data for the candidemia pa-
tients were as follows. Eighty-one patients (64.3%) were males,
and 45 (35.7%) were females. Their ages ranged from 16 to 90
years, with a mean � standard deviation age of 62.1 � 15.8
years. Forty-seven patients (37.3%) had cancer (34 with solid
cancers, 7 with lymphoma, 4 with leukemia, and 2 with multiple
myeloma), 6 had HIV infection, 27 (21.4%) had diabetes, and
FIG. 1. Linear regression of dose versus AUC24. Data were obtained from previous reports (6, 10, 13, 14, 19, 26).
3600 RODRI´GUEZ-TUDELA ET AL. ANTIMICROB. AGENTS CHEMOTHER.
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71 (56.3%) had undergone surgery in the 3 months before they
developed candidemia. Four patients had received a solid or-
gan transplant, and three had received a hematopoietic stem
cell transplant. Only nine patients (7.1%) were neutropenic.
These patients experienced a total of 126 (40.5%) episodes of
candidemia. The mortality rate was 30.8%, but death was at-
tributed to candidemia in only 6.9% of the cases.
Microorganisms. Table 1 shows the etiologic agents of can-
didemia and mucosal candidosis. C. albicans was responsible
for 79.4% of the episodes.
Doses. Sixty-five episodes of OPC were treated with 100 mg/
day fluconazole, 44 with a dose of 200 mg/day, and 23 with 400
mg/day. Four episodes of candidemia were treated with 100 mg/
day, 25 with 200 mg/day, 92 with 400 mg/day, 2 with 600, and 3
with 800 mg/day. The doses were considered to be equivalent to
the AUC, even though some patients had renal dysfunction.
Exposure-response analysis. Overall, 93.7% (136 of 145 ep-
isodes) of the infections due to isolates with fluconazole MICs
�2 mg/liter responded to fluconazole treatment (Table 2). A
response of 66% (8 of 12 episodes) was observed when the
infections were caused by isolates with MICs of 4 mg/liter, and
a response of 11.8% (12 of 101 episodes) was observed when
the infection was caused by isolates with fluconazole MICs �8
mg/liter. However, when the dose administered was taken into
consideration, 93.4% (114 of 122) of the patients infected with
isolates with fluconazole MICs of �4 mg/liter responded to
�100 mg/day fluconazole, whereas only 17.9% (12 of 67 epi-
sodes) of those episodes caused by strains with fluconazole
MICs �8 mg/liter were cured.
The results were similar when the data were analyzed ac-
cording to the disease entity (Table 2).
In total, 93.9% (140 of 149) of the patients were cured when
the dose/MIC was �100, whereas when the dose/MIC was a
lower value, only 14.6% (16 of 109) of the patients were cured.
For a dose/MIC of 50, 50% (5 of 10 episodes) (Table 3) were
cured. However, the response rate for a dose/MIC of �50 was
91.2% (145 of 159).
The number of episodes of OPC and the comparable numbers
of successes and failures in this group made a separate analysis
possible. The relationship between the dose/MIC and the prob-
ability of cure showed that all patients were cured when the
dose/MIC was �100 and all failed when it was �10 (Fig. 2). An
EC50 of 43.7 (95% confidence interval, 33.8 to 56.6) was esti-
mated, and CART analysis indicated that 35.5 was the value that
best separated the groups into those who were cured and those
who were not. However, a number of failures occurred when the
dose/MIC was greater than 35.5, although all patients were cured
when the dose/MIC exceeded 100.
Monte Carlo simulations were performed by use of a 400-mg
dose of fluconazole per day. The formula AUC � 0.99 � dose
� 9.2 was used to calculate the corresponding AUC/MIC and
fAUC/MIC of the dose/MICs obtained in this work (Fig. 2 and
Table 3). These Monte Carlo simulations showed a probability
of target attainment of 99% at MICs �2 mg/liter and a dose/
MIC ratio of 100 (equivalent to fAUC/MIC of 79) to be the
optimum PD target. For MICs �4 mg/liter, a PD target of 50
(equivalent to a fAUC/MIC of 40) would be attained with a
99% probability.
DISCUSSION
The results presented here showed that there was a corre-
lation between the outcome and the results of antifungal sus-
ceptibility testing, as others have found previously (7, 17, 27,
28, 31). However, as 79.4% of the isolates were C. albicans, the
results should be interpreted with this limitation in mind.
More than 90% of the patients responded to fluconazole
when the isolate had a fluconazole MIC�2 mg/liter. For those
isolates with fluconazole MICs of 4 mg/liter the response was
66%, although this reached 100% when �100 mg/day flucon-
azole was given. Only 11.8% (12 of 101) patients responded
when the fluconazole MIC was �8 mg/liter. However, since
few such isolates were responsible for candidemia, the data
from this population were useful only as support of the results
obtained for patients with OPC. In fact, an MIC of either 2
mg/liter or 4 mg/liter could be used to discriminate the success
and the failure of fluconazole treatment.
The PDs of fluconazole for Candida infections have been
investigated and have demonstrated that there is a correlation
between the dose, the MIC of the yeast, and outcome (4, 18,
19). AUC divided by MIC, i.e., AUC/MIC, is the PD param-
TABLE 1. Species causing fungal infections
Species
No. (%) of species causing:
Candidemia OPC All
Candida albicans 73 132 205 (79.4)
Candida parapsilosis 27 27 (10.4)
Candida tropicalis 12 12 (4.6)
Candida glabrata 9 9 (3.4)
Other yeastsa 5 5 (1.9)
All 126 (48.8) 132 (51.2) 258
a Other yeasts comprised one isolate each of the following species: C. krusei, C.
guilliermondii, C. kefyr, C. dubliniensis, and Geotrichum capitatum.
TABLE 2. Correlation of MIC data with fluconazole treatment adjusted by dose administered
MIC
(mg/liter)
% Clinical success (no. cured/total no.) for the following doses of fluconazole and patients with the indicated conditions:
100 mg/day �100 mg/day All doses
All cases
Candidemia OPC Candidemia OPC Candidemia OPC
�0.5 75 (3/4) 100 (21/21) 92 (95/103) 100 (5/5) 91 (98/107) 100 (26/26) 93 (124/133)
1 100 (4/4) 100 (6/6) 100 (6/6) 100 (4/4) 100 (10/10)
2 100 (1/1) 100 (1/1) 100 (1/1) 100 (1/1) 100 (2/2)
4 20 (1/5) 100 (3/3) 100 (4/4) 100 (3/3) 69 (5/9) 66 (8/12)
8 0 (0/15) 40 (2/5) 41 (7/17) 40 (2/5) 26 (7/32) 24 (9/37)
�16 0 (0/19) 75 (3/4) 0 (0/41) 75 (3/4) 2 (0/60) 4 (3/64)
VOL. 51, 2007 FLUCONAZOLE MIC AND THERAPEUTIC RESPONSE 3601
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eter that best predicts efficacy (4, 18, 19). However, the dose of
fluconazole can be used as a surrogate for AUC, as the dose
and AUC have been shown to be virtually equivalent (19) (Fig.
1). However, Monte Carlo simulations were performed for the
fAUC/MIC of a 400-mg/day dose. Therefore, the interpreta-
tion of the data in the same units would make the exercise
straightforward (Table 3). Thus, the AUC24 and the corre-
sponding dose were obtained from selected references (6, 10,
13, 14, 19, 26). A linear regression was calculated, and then the
equation obtained was used to calculate with accuracy of the
equivalencies between the dose and the AUC. Then, fAUC/
MIC was calculated by assuming that f was 88% (6, 10, 13, 14,
19, 26).
A dose/MIC of �50 achieved a response rate above 90%
(145 of 159 patients) (Table 3). However, 5 of the 10 cases for
which the dose/MIC was exactly 50 failed treatment (Table 3).
This represents a high failure rate, albeit for a small number of
patients. The probability of cure was shown to be a function of
the dose/MIC and the EC50 was 43.7, but nonetheless, a dose/
MIC just short of 100 was required to achieve a probability of
cure of 90% (Fig. 2). In murine models of systemic candidosis,
the AUC24/MIC required to achieve 50% of the maximum
effect varied from 25 to 44 (4, 18), although an AUC/MIC of
�500 was required to attain a 2-log10 reduction in the numbers
of CFU (