2006?2?27?
______________________________________________________________________________________
?????????????????????, ????????????????????? ???????
?????????, ????????????????, ????????????????, ??????
???????
-??????????????????-
1
?????????
1?????7???
????????1 ???????????????? 2.6%?? 1998 ? 8 ??
??????????????? 4.6%? 1 ????????????????? 1
???????????????????????????????2??????
1??????
??????? 7.3%
????????????????? 7.3%??????????? 3.7%???
?????? 3.0%????????????? 3.9% (????????6.8%????
????????10.7%)?????????????56??? 11.2%? 8.6%???
?????????? 8.4%? 2.8%? ??????????????? 4- 5%??
?????????????? 2.3%?
2005 / 06?????? 41??
????????????2005 / 06??????? 41????? 2006 / 07??
??? 56????? ????????????????????????????
????????? 1 ?????????????????????? 3 ????
10???????????? 10???
??????
2006?2?27?
______________________________________________________________________________________
?????????????????????, ????????????????????? ???????
?????????, ????????????????, ????????????????, ??????
???????
-??????????????????-
2
???????????6??
????????????????????????????????????
?? 6???????????????????????????????360?(?
???????) ?????????????????
???? 5???
??????? (24?) ???15,856??? 1998?????, ??????380
?? ???????????? (22?) ??? 6,717???????????:
??????????
??????????????????????20?????????3.1??
????????????????? 2,000 ??????????????????
????????????????????????????
??????????
?????????? 6 ????????????????? 1,000 ?????
?????18??50?????????????????????????????
??????? (??????)??????????18?????? ??????
??????????????????????????????????????
?????????????????? ???????????????????
??????????????????????????????????????
??
2006?2?27?
______________________________________________________________________________________
?????????????????????, ????????????????????? ???????
?????????, ????????????????, ????????????????, ??????
???????
-??????????????????-
3
?????????
????????????????? 100 ?????????? 27.4 ????
2004??? 3,000?? ????700????????25?????1???????
????????????????? 400?????2004 ??340??? ????
?????????????? 26%???????? 40???2004???3???
?????????????2004?? 44%?????? 49%? ?????????
???????????36%????32%???????????16%?8%?
???????????????
?????????????????????????? 182 ???????
??????????????????????????????????????
??????????????????????????????????????
???????????????
?????????????
????????????????????????????????????
?????????????????????: ????????????????
??????????????????????????????????????
??????????????????????????????????????
??????????????????????????????????????
????????????????????????????
624??????? 45??
?????????????? 1???? 1,154??????????????
????????? 624?????? 45???
2006?2?27?
______________________________________________________________________________________
?????????????????????, ????????????????????? ???????
?????????, ????????????????, ????????????????, ??????
???????
-??????????????????-
4
???????? 15.9%
?????? 1 ??????????? 15.9%? 350 ???????????
? 2.31????? 13.7%??? 1? 27? (?????????1?) ??????
???853????????
???????????? 8%
???????????????2006 ??????????????????
???? 8%??????????? 3%? ????????????M1????
?M2?????????16%?14%?
1??????? 1.9%
????????1????????????? 1.9%?????? 12?? 1.6%
??????????????????1%???????3.6%?
????????? 11%
????????1 ?????????????? 3,044 ?????????
14.6%?????????? 45.45????? 11.0%?
?????????19.4%
????????????????????????????? 19.4%? 46.8%
??????? ??????????5???????????9?15?????
???
2006?2?27?
______________________________________________________________________________________
?????????????????????, ????????????????????? ???????
?????????, ????????????????, ????????????????, ??????
???????
-??????????????????-
5
???????????????155.86????
????????????????????????155.86?????????
????????? 402.57???
????????????57%
????????1???????????? 3,561???????? 12???
57.15%??? 4 ??????? ???? 1 ?????????? 7,348 ?????
????? 1,378 ??????? 34,932 ?????? 12 ??? 7.71%??????
11,754????? 10.57%?
???????????????????
????????????????????????????????????
??????????????????????????????????????
?????????????
?????????????????
????????????????????????????????????
??????????????????????????????????????
??????????????????????????????????????
??????????????????????????????????????
??????????????????????????????????????
??????????????????????????????????????
??????????????????????????????????????
???????????????????????????
2006?2?27?
______________________________________________________________________________________
?????????????????????, ????????????????????? ???????
?????????, ????????????????, ????????????????, ??????
???????
-??????????????????-
6
???????????????
????????1???????????? 688.57????????????
18.6%???????????? 650.06 ?????? 18.5%???????????
?? 38.51?????? 20.6%? ???????????????????? ???
?????????????? 3.4 ?????????? 9.5%?????????
?? 2.65???? 14.1%???????????? 7,465????? 4.1%? ???
?????????????????
????????????240?
?????????????? 240????????? 650?????????
???? 5%????????? 224.05??? 2004??? 11.7?? 5.5%?????
???? ???????????? 395??????? 21.1%?????? 40.36?
???? 32.7%?
2006?2?27?
______________________________________________________________________________________
?????????????????????, ????????????????????? ???????
?????????, ????????????????, ????????????????, ??????
???????
-??????????????????-
7
????????????
????????????? 4.06 ?, ?????, ???????? 4.79 ??
0.73?? ????????????? 3.84????????? 0.04???????
??? 4.58??? 0.74??
港元及美元三個月拆息
( 2005 年 1 月 3 日 至 2006 年 2 月 24 日)
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 1 | 2
%
港元三個月拆息 美元三個月拆息
2006?2?27?
______________________________________________________________________________________
?????????????????????, ????????????????????? ???????
?????????, ????????????????, ????????????????, ??????
???????
-??????????????????-
8
??????
??????65?
?????????????????(26?)??? 65???????????
?? 4.4??????? 2012? 10? 18???????? 70??????????
??????????? 2050??????????? 95??
???????0.7%
????????1 ?????????? 12 ??? 0.7%??????????
0.5%?????????????????????????????0.2%?????
???
????????
????????1?????????1.1%????12??0.3%??????
????6????????2004?8?????????????????????
????????
??????????????2001?2004??????????????12?
??????? ??????????? 1992 ???????????? 33.9%??
?????28.1%?
?????????????
????????2 ? 13 ?? 18 ???????????????? 2 ???
27.8???????????
2006?2?27?
______________________________________________________________________________________
?????????????????????, ????????????????????? ???????
?????????, ????????????????, ????????????????, ??????
???????
-??????????????????-
9
??1????????
????????1????????10.2%??2000?7??1???????
????? 2%?????????????????????????????0.6%?
????????0.5%???
???????????????
????????????????????????????? 2004 ????
?? 1.0%?
?????????14???
??2????????103.3???1???1.5?????????101.1??
????14????
?????????????
????????1 ?????? 3,489 ??????????????????
?????????????????????????????????? ?? 1
????5.01????????????13.5%?????5.36??????27.0%?
????12????????0.2%
????????? 12 ???????? 11 ??? 0.2%???????? 0.3%
??? ?????12????????11???0.4%?????????0.5%???
2006?2?27?
______________________________________________________________________________________
?????????????????????, ????????????????????? ???????
?????????, ????????????????, ????????????????, ??????
???????
-??????????????????-
10
??1???????9.5???
????????1?????? 4.99?????? 12??? 9.51??????
???? 30?????
????????????5%?5.7%
????????????????5%?5.7%???????????????
??????????????????????????
???1??????????1.7%
????????1??????????12???0.3%??2005?????1.7%?
2006?2?27?
______________________________________________________________________________________
?????????????????????, ????????????????????? ???????
?????????, ????????????????, ????????????????, ??????
???????
-??????????????????-
11
????????????
????????????
(??????)
20/2 21/2 22/2 23/2 24/2
??? ??? ??? ??? ???
??????????? 休 市 11,069.06 11,137.17 11,069.22 11,061.85
?????? 休 市 2,262.96 2,283.17 2,279.32 2,287.04
????????? 4.7300 4.7300 4.7300 4.7300 4.7900
????????? 4.6720 4.6980 4.6640 4.7160 4.7160
????????? 4.5370 4.5650 4.5210 4.5550 4.5730
?????????? 4.5060 4.5310 4.4800 4.5010 4.5260
????? 1.1946 1.1921 1.1901 1.1923 1.1876
????? 118.29 118.70 118.62 117.18 116.92
????? 0.7416 0.7400 0.7368 0.7389 0.7395
????? 0.6696 0.6631 0.6589 0.6614 0.6628
????? 1.1484 1.1477 1.1494 1.1531 1.1484
????? 1.7441 1.7462 1.7424 1.7519 1.7455
2006?2?27?
______________________________________________________________________________________
?????????????????????, ????????????????????? ???????
?????????, ????????????????, ????????????????, ??????
???????
-??????????????????-
12
?????????
????????????? (20?) ??? 4.537??????? (24?) ??
? 4.573???????????? (17?) ??? 4.537??? 0.036??
2006?2?27?
______________________________________________________________________________________
?????????????????????, ????????????????????? ???????
?????????, ????????????????, ????????????????, ??????
???????
-??????????????????-
13
????
??????????? (20 ?) ??? 555.84 ???????? (24 ?) ??
? 559.05????????????? (17?) ??? 552.10???? 6.95???
2006?2?27?
______________________________________________________________________________________
?????????????????????, ????????????????????? ???????
?????????, ????????????????, ????????????????, ??????
???????
-??????????????????-
14
????
??????????? (20 ?) ??? 60.03 ???????? (22 ?) ??
? 58.33???????????? (24?) ????? 60.87??????? (17?)
??? 58.17???? 2.7???
2006?2?27?
______________________________________________________________________________________
?????????????????????, ????????????????????? ???????
?????????, ????????????????, ????????????????, ??????
???????
-??????????????????-
15
本周公佈主要經濟數據/事項:
?? ????/?? ????
2?27? (??) ? ? 1??????? N/A
? ? 1????? 126??
2?28? (??) ? ? ??? 4??????? +1.6%
? ? 2???????? 104.5
? ? 2?????????? 58.5
? ? 1??????? 660??
3?1? (??) ? ? 1????? +0.6%
? ? 1??????? +1%
? ? 2?ISM????? 55.6
? ? 1????? +1.1%
3? 2? (??) ? ? 1??????? N/A
? ? ??????????? 28.5??
3? 3? (??) ? ? 2??????????? 88
? ? 2?ISM????? 58
? ? 1????? 4.4%
? ? 1??????? +0.4%